Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.385759 0.436938 0.494158 0.563209 0.644722 0.738426 0.855079
2024-10-13 0.306484 0.373417 0.455522 0.565045 0.709452 0.896438 1.162071
2024-10-20 0.255360 0.327040 0.420823 0.555272 0.747788 1.021185 1.453587
2024-10-27 0.221807 0.295163 0.396075 0.549308 0.784078 1.144599 1.771315
2024-11-03 0.205440 0.283023 0.394757 0.573787 0.866436 1.351822 2.281144
2024-11-10 0.188784 0.267593 0.385496 0.583194 0.924980 1.532015 2.802248
2024-11-17 0.171389 0.248605 0.367768 0.575252 0.951347 1.660049 3.265472
2024-11-24 0.155741 0.230384 0.348683 0.561516 0.963766 1.763268 3.712615
2024-12-01 0.145141 0.218913 0.338970 0.562213 1.002576 1.927942 4.369720
2024-12-08 0.138369 0.212857 0.337409 0.577063 1.071566 2.174777 5.352416
2024-12-15 0.130548 0.204227 0.330318 0.580230 1.116745 2.379801 6.325768
2024-12-22 0.121207 0.192143 0.315796 0.566760 1.123145 2.492466 7.076084
2024-12-29 0.116459 0.187794 0.315140 0.581748 1.198562 2.810476 8.750530
2025-01-05 0.110627 0.181033 0.309343 0.585381 1.248689 3.079146 10.462172
2025-01-12 0.103767 0.171836 0.297980 0.575469 1.263550 3.251678 11.926598
2025-01-19 0.098002 0.164187 0.288875 0.569286 1.286871 3.459740 13.757010
2025-01-26 0.096088 0.163547 0.293529 0.594897 1.400897 4.010536 17.989756
2025-02-02 0.092712 0.159836 0.291565 0.604740 1.473737 4.452857 22.250957
2025-02-09 0.087931 0.153043 0.282585 0.596432 1.492053 4.701595 25.633670
2025-02-16 0.083010 0.145643 0.271703 0.582064 1.489340 4.868825 28.717502
2025-02-23 0.079749 0.141318 0.267026 0.582793 1.534346 5.258691 34.432773
2025-03-02 0.077896 0.139681 0.268022 0.598326 1.631424 5.933032 44.546160
2025-03-09 0.075221 0.136179 0.264577 0.601639 1.688759 6.457545 54.730042